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18. Questions on alternatives to history i.e Please can you tell what would have happened if Elizabeth had never become Queen/had married/had borne children/had lost the Armada/had died early in her reign. I receive many questions
of this nature, so thought I would address them under a broad term
"alternatives to history". As history is the study of the past, an attempt
to understand the actions and experiences of our ancestors as they happened,
I usually don't think too much about what could have happened if Elizabeth
had died in her youth, or had married, or had lost the Armada. No one could
have predicted the course history has taken, and so trying to predict what
might have happened had one of the variables been different, is perhaps
impossible. Questions like this are sometimes deceptive, and are not directly
asking you what would have happened if Elizabeth had died etc. Sometimes
they are asking you to think about the reasons for some of the decisions
she may have made, or the circumstance in which she found herself, or England
found herself. For example:
1. What would have happened had Elizabeth married? This could be another
way of asking "Why did the Queen choose to remain single?". By thinking
of the possible consequences i.e civil war, involvement of England in foreign
wars, loss of power and influence for the Queen, death of the Queen in
childbirth etc etc etc it becomes easier to understand why the Queen
stayed single. In some cases it is possible to understand what went wrong
in the past by thinking what the consequences of a different course of
action could have been i.e had John Dudley not tried to usurp the throne
for Mary, the course of Elizabeth's reign may have been very different.
Robert Dudley and Elizabeth would possibly have been able to marry.
But again, one of the problems with "alternative" theories is that history
does not always depend only on one variable. Because Robert was the brother
in law of Lady Jane Grey, Elizabeth may not have been so close to him,
perceiving him as a threat. Even if this was not the case, the problem
of Amy Dudley would still exist. Once you start getting into alternative
theories, the possibilities are endless.
2. What would have happened had the Queen lost the Armada? This could be another
way of asking "Why was it so important to the Queen that the Armada was
defeated?". This allows you then to think of the consequences; the Spanish
invading England, the wars that would ensue, the death of the Queen and
a completely different government put in place.
3. What would have happened had the Queen died early in her reign? This could be another
way of asking: "Why did many people consider settling the succession to
be so important?". The problems of an uncertain succession can then be
discussed.
Therefore, my advice
to those wanting help with this type of question, is to think hard about
what the question is really asking you. Does your history teacher/tutor
really want you to invent your own version of history or for you to understand
better events that
have taken place? In creative writing, alternatives
to history can be stimulating, but in the study of history, questions containing
"what if" usually ask for your understanding of events that have occurred,
problems faced by individuals/society, and the reasons for certain courses
of action.
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